Breadth Thrust from a Bottom

Using the 2011 bottom as an example, this is what a breadth thrust on Market Monitor should look like from the bottom up. Note that even after this thrust, we had a shakeout / retest in November 2011 before we got the follow through breadth thrust in December/January. Note the large size of the up days coming off the 10/3/11 capitulation day. These are not just 300-400 days, these are 1201, 415, 538, 603, 628, 1683 up days; huge breadth on the upside. At the time we were in a very volatile market, so the 300-500 negative breadth days were not out of the ordinary, and were relatively small when you look at the surrounding positive days. It tells you there is some serious buying in the market. This is what we want to see, but it may only come after a capitulation type sell off similar to the last few days of September 2011. Europe may provide exactly that at some point. We shall see.

Compare the above to what we have now and you can see the difference: