September 23, 2011

Today's Trades


Did a couple of day trades today, both on the same stock, SINA. This stock is a China stock that moves nicely intraday.

Trade #1: This trade was entered in the morning, after the opening action. The stock made a nice push on a large green frame to start the move, then pulled back and reset. I entered on the first yellow arrow, and the two blue arrows are my exit. The second exit was based on the expectation that once it passed the $86 area, it would test the gap at $87.60 or so. So I put a limit order just below the gap at $87.50 and moved my stop up to $86.00, my previous exit point. Worst case I make $1.60 a share, best case I average out to $2.40 a share profit, which is what happened. Probably one of the more satisfying trades I have had lately. But then I put a small ding in it with trade #2.

Trade #2: This trade, quite frankly, should have been entered on the frame before I entered. There's a little green candle, almost a doji, a couple of frames prior to the large green frame. The frame after entry was a flag pole and red frame closing on lows with a flat ema, so I cut it loose for a loss of 7 cents. Probably should have accepted the fact that I missed the optimal entry, but it feels good to be in cash and have a good day.

I'll have my weekly review of the market over the weekend. Till then, be merry.

September 21, 2011

Comparing Recent Bull and Bear Markets

Dow weekly charts for 2003-2007 bull, 2007-2009 bear, 2009-2011 bull, and 2011 top are below. See the similarities. Current situation looks a lot like early stage of last bear market. And all the news that comes with it too. Look out below, could still get bumpy over larget time frame; today's move down has been setting up for weeks now.

2003-2007 (see the top at right edge)



2007-2009 bear and 2009-2011 bull:



Zoom in on 2009-2011 bull...looks similar to last top in 2007:

September 20, 2011

Wheelhouse View of the Market



I was just taking a look at the indices tonight, and it really doesn't look that good. We have essentially consolidated in a range up to the 50-day sma's on each index. The $RUT couldn't even make it that far. A down leg from here is certainly possible. Today's action was not great either, and with a FOMC meeting tomorrow the volatility will be up there.

Still only day trading when schedule allows. It allows tomorrow :)))

Happy Trading